[Jay Riall]

You haven't included any FE over hands like TT/AQ (I think he 3bet/folds them fairly often here ). I think this player is nearly always 3betting JJ, AK aswell. Also, we sometimes fold AK (definitely not an insignificant amount of the time) and sometimes QQ (may be an insignificant amount of the time).

Then again I am negating the times when the overcaller wakes up with a hand (or calls with crap I guess).

I think this is pretty close.