Re: top two in huge pre-flop capped pot
Grunch.
PF: If MP3 is as tight as you say, I'm out of here on the re-raise. This might be weak tight, but when a 3% player is reraised there's a good chance it's coming back capped. I fold after the raises.
Flop: If I'm 90% certain MP3 has AA or KK I think I can fold top pair. Should I be looking at pot size? I'm getting 20-1 to call first time round, but I'm certain there'll be a raise behind me, so its more like 11-1. With only 3 clean outs, I think that equals a fold.
Turn. You're getting what, 9-1 for your redraw? 4 outs (assuming BB isn't playing JJ, which is quite a big likelihood, but nevermind). Since it looks like you'd get paid off if you hit, It's callable, though personally I might let MUTB scare me off this one. I strongly suspect JJ for BB and flush/straight for UTG. It's marginal.
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