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Old 11-02-2007, 08:03 PM
elindauer elindauer is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: analyzing hand ranges
Posts: 2,966
Default Re: A tough one (for PJ even though he\'ll probably hate it)

Against tough players, you'd do well to think about your hand range on the river instead of the actual hand. What's your range?

I'd guess that you would never check an overpair twice. That leaves ace-high hands that now hold top pair, and, perhaps, bluffs like KQ or KJs.

Now, if you would also never check king-high twice (which I would expect), then that means that the hand you hold is in fact the very worst holding you could possibly have.

Given that, and the tough nature of your opponent, you should fold. He's probably good enough to recognize that your hand range is all 1-pair of aces type hands.


If you call, then you are saying that you have a read that he is bluff check-raising too much, given the pot size. Is he? Well, you did say that he can bluff-raise, but bluff check-raise? Too much? I don't have enough information to offer an exploitable play yet. So fold.

good luck.
Eric
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