Re: 50NL: Good player donks all-in on turn, 3b pot
I do this sometimes with black AK here - pretty much the only hands that call are sets AJhh+ and QQ+
Even tho if he is any good his bluffing range has got to be ~30% here we still can't call #2 cos most of the time we are crushed drawing to 2 outs I'd guess 70% he has JJ+ 20% a worse pair + draw or AJhh+ and 10% stone cold bluff.
hand 1 is standard - there is no way you can pin villain solely on KJ. I think AQ is much more likely given he opened UTG.
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