[TNixon]

LAST CHANCE ON TAKING ME UP ON THE VARIANCE BET. I'm laying 2-1 odds, for a max of $100 of your dollars ($200 of mine). The proposal is earlier in the thread. Let me know if it's buried too deep in other crap and you need a refresher.

If I take this to the probability forum, and they shoot me down, you will have lost your chance at a free $200, if you really feel that strongly that I'm off my rocker here.

The offer stands open until the end of the day today. Tomorrow I cross the forum line, into a group of people that hopefully have more experience running variance calculations and comparisons than most of the people in this one (myself certainly included. I didn't even *know* the formulas until silly errors in my earlier sanity checks forced me to go looking definitions and formulas and stuff up on the internet)