Re: Pitt -6 at Arizona...
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home field gets 3.5 points in making the line ... so look at it as pitt -10.5 at home and -7 on the road
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Somebody already pointed it out but it should really be highlighted because this is really wrong.
If you assume 3 points for home-field adv then:
PIT -7 if they play at AZ
PIT -10 vs. AZ on a neutral-field
PIT -13 vs. AZ if they play at PIT.
Also, some arguments could be made that a team traveling pretty much from one coast to another has a slightly tougher time. Although that might be made up if there's a lack of super-raucousness in AZ compared with some other NFL environments. I'm not really sure.
It seems like a lot of points to be giving up 3 time-zones away against an AZ team that is probably closer to mediocre than people think. PIT's hot start perhaps has them somewhat more over-valued than they deserve to be.
I think there might even be value on betting the AZ money-line on this one.
Bet the somewhat-less-than-mediocre team at home against the better-than-medicore team that the public is super-duper in love with.
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