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Old 12-02-2007, 04:36 AM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 3,784
Default Re: who does tOSU play in the title game?

[ QUOTE ]
according to the math here, it's Ohio State and LSU as the two leaders

Of course, Ohio State is the only team that outperformed what one would expect from a #2 team. Every other team underperformed.

+/- compared to a #2
Ohio State +0.212W 0.899p
LSU -0.259W 0.866p
USC -0.263W 0.855p
Georgia -0.288W 0.857p
V Tech -0.577W 0.891p
Oklahoma -0.628W 0.895p

that looks at only wins and losses directly
of course, I'd think margin of victory favors Ohio St and LSU even more

[/ QUOTE ]

Oklahoma was #1 by Sagarin predictor before they beat Mizzou by 21 today. Also, I think both USC and OU should be given a little extra credit for the fact that debilitating injuries contributed largely to their bad games. If I didn't factor in injuries or MOV at all, then I would also have LSU #2.
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