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Old 05-11-2007, 04:08 AM
Nate tha\\\' Great Nate tha\\\' Great is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
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Default Re: 1/2 Commerce hand vs CMO

[ QUOTE ]
Nate the whole thing confused me, I mean when I cold cap it preflop I'm betting when checked to close to 100% of the time so I have no idea what his range is after the flop gets checked around. Checking JTcc doesn't seem particularly better or worse than checking TT and what else could he have given the card I saw?

-DeathDonkey

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Checking J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] is much worse than checking say T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. For one thing, the flush draw actually has more equity (about 35% versus 25% in the Pokerstoves I ran). For another thing, a bet with JTs has a much better chance of folding out better hands for self-evident reasons. For a third thing, the flush draw plays much better against a raise.

I think you have to bet both in a pot that's this large against loose opponents, but I think failing to bet the TT is like a $30 mistake and failing to bet the JTs is like a $300 mistake.

The rationale for checking TT is basically: I'm not folding out JJ-KK in a Commerce 1/2 game, getting raised is a bitch when I'd be getting like 15-1 to call, I might benefit from a free card and maybe my voodoo will allow me a second free card and/or a cheap showdown.

The rationale for checking JTs is non-existent.
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