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Old 11-20-2007, 09:37 AM
PokrLikeItsProse PokrLikeItsProse is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
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Default Re: The Psychology of Poker (Stud Hi) example

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What about the 10% rule of (opponent does something stupid to surprise you), misclick, trying to make a play at you, feeler raise, etc…

Who here thinks check-folding Trip tens on 7’th is the proper EV move?


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I don't really believe that rule. If that's the case, then there is no such thing as a rock or a nit. I'd like to see you play omaha/8 using that rule.

You are showing open tens with a ten in the door after raising on third. Some players will assume that you either have a ten or a big pocket pair in the hole. Arguably queens up is not a good raising hand if they assign you that range and some players will only raise you if they can beat trip tens. Some players just won't raise you unless they have you board-locked (or if they have a full house...some players overplay full houses even when the betting tells them their opponent is very likely to hold a higher full house).

The wrong mindset is to just count the possible combinations that beat your hand. That's low level thinking that only takes into account the strength of your hand. A better mindset is to see how your hand does against the possible combinations that opponent will raise with on fifth street, taking into account your hand's relative strength against your opponent's range which has been significantly narrowed by a fifth street raise.

Should you fold trip tens against every loose passive player? No. Is it possible to know a particular loose passive player's game well enough to be able to fold unimproved on the end? Yes.
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