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Old 10-15-2007, 06:35 PM
Josem Josem is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Victoria, Australia
Posts: 4,780
Default Re: lolz super accountz

[ QUOTE ]
If this is the actual number than ... lol wow. I was reading this thread and it is obvious its cheating. But adding this number lol
It would be fun to compare it to something else that is so unlikely to happen. i.e. win lottery back to back or something like it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Using Google, I tried to find something else that occurred at fifteen standard deviations. I couldn't find anything.

The Wikipedia entry on Standard Deviation lists the confidence interval of 7SD at 99.99999999974%. That is to say, that on a normally distributed data set, 99.999999999,74% of the results will be within standard deviations - or, to put it another way, 26/100,000,000,000 - twenty six in every hundred billion.

I haven't seen any calculations on the confidence interval on fifteen standard deviations, but as a reasonably intelligent layman, I estimate/guess it is something in the order of 1/1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.

To put that into perspective, we're not talking about winning the lottery twice in a row (1 in a million events) - we're in the realm of talking about a random person winning a one-in-a-million lottery six consecutive times.