Re: Playing the EPL
Betting large favorites in major soccer leagues on a 3 way line is not a good idea. @ -350 you need Chelsea to win ~78% just to breakeven.
How would you estimate the possibility of a draw?
Usually the value in these games longterm is on the dog if you find a book who shades the lines towards the favorite.
In the game you choose +1400 @ bet 3,65 for derby has a decent value. The most important thing to understand in sportsbetting imho is to understand that there is no right or wrong side but only right or wrong prices.
Btw if you have acess to interwetten they offer chelsea @ -333
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