[TNixon]

After quadruple-checking my unit conversion, I realized that I did multiply the wrong way, so

[ QUOTE ]

var=(10/4)(avgpot^2-1)
to achieve variance less than 202.5 the avg pot will have to be:
202.5=(10/4)(avgpot^2-1)
avgpot=9.13bb


[/ QUOTE ]

should really be

20250 = (10/4)(avgpot^2-1), which leads to an average pot of 90, which is exactly what I expected to see, meaning that for a 100BB $100 stack to equal the variance of a 10BB stack, with that monster winrate, he would have to be playing average pots of 90bb.

Which is basically equivalent to push-or-fold. So the result here is that if you're playing push-or-fold with $100, and your opponent plays optimally, your variance will be exactly the same whether you're sitting at a 0.5/1 table or a 5/10 table.

So, once again, your math has fallen victim to unit errors, and my math has fallen victim to my own stupidity.