Re: NL20 rivered FH, river action?
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the math almost definitely works out for the push. If he has AK or something absurd like AA/KK less than 65% of the time, it's +EV to push.
EV = .33*(14.65+13.15)-.67*(14.65)
EV ~ $0.21
Now, if you truly think he's got AA/KK/AK 65% of the time, a call might be the better +EV move, but if your read is total donk, he's probably only got AA/KK/AK like, 33-50% of the time. It's now an easier push than before I did the math. THX ALG 1 TCHR
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