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Old 11-20-2007, 04:42 PM
gordo16 gordo16 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: STLMO
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Default Re: 10/25. Rate this bluff? What you think success rate is?

I'll add a more detailed reply later on today, but I think that this is actually a pretty bad spot to bluff. The only hands that you are representing which beat villain are in my eyes AAxx and AJxx; Im assuming you 3bet turn with Qs full and are happy to check down 6s full on the river. Also, I think that this is a terrible spot to value-bet KT and I actually don't 100% believe you when you say that you would do it here. That being said, villain looks like he probably has a weak J, J6, or maybe rivered the KT str8. This is kind of weird logic on my part, but if he is a thoughtful, good player I think that he calls you here with almost all of his range aside from air obviously, whereas if he is a 'just play the cards' type of HU guy, then I think that this is an OK spot to put in a bluff. I just really think that you represent such a narrow range here that he has pretty good equity to call with weak trips, etc.
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