Re: PLO100 - Assessing whether its a bare ace bluff??
FWIW I think this is a bare Ace bluff much less often than you're suggesting. Lots of people will NEVER make big bluffs like this. Others will only do it only a small % of the time, and even very LAG players will think twice doing it into 5 players. Try plugging 15% into your figures and see what the EV is then.
The advantage of re-potting is as a semibluff where you're hoping non-nut flushes will fold, not because you think you might be up against a bare Ace.
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is it not slightly suspicious that hes potting straight out fo the blinds? if he had called UTG with his hand then for sure he had a suited ace a good deal of the time, but out of the blinds? i think its about 50/50 that his Ace is suited maybe less.
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Why can he not have a suited Ace in the blinds? Why's it any less likely than any other position?
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