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Old 11-20-2007, 03:29 AM
Albert Moulton Albert Moulton is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Live Full Ring NLHE
Posts: 2,377
Default Re: 200NL - AQs - Multiway Pot With 2p2er

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No. I don't need to think and I know it is -EV. Look at their stacks.


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I never fold this hand.

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What range are you giving the_main here? I've never played with the guy, but going on reputation, this looks like a fold (it's close, though).

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i'm not doing the math but even if you gave main only sets i think it would still be +ev to go all in.

but i assume main could have also cold called with a suited hand.

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I never fold this hand.

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What range are you giving the_main here? I've never played with the guy, but going on reputation, this looks like a fold (it's close, though).

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i'm not doing the math but even if you gave main only sets i think it would still be +ev to go all in.

but i assume main could have also cold called with a suited hand.

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All-in for $172.5 more in the OP by hero, assuming villain calls, yields pot odds of $172.5 to $453.65 (what's in the pot plus a call from villain). That's about 2.63:1 pot odds. Assuming that hero has no fold equity (a pretty good assumption given the action and effective stacks), he needs better than 36% equity to make pushing +EV.

Vs sets only, hero has 25.556% equity. That's not good enough.

But vs sets, top two pair, and big draws, it's +EV:

Board: 8s 3c 9c
61.246% { 99-88,33,KcJc,JcTc,98s,7c6c,6c5c}
38.754% { AcQc }

I think villain has big draws along with sets and 2-pair often enough to make it marginally +EV. But hero's usually behind despite being correct to get all the money in.
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