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Old 10-30-2007, 04:16 PM
Small Fry Small Fry is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Livermore, CA
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Default Re: What are the odds of hitting a flush or straight post flop

[ QUOTE ]
Straight draw 32.7%, flush draw 36.4%. These are the chances to hit your draw with 2 cards to come.

Use the rule of 4 and 2 for a rough estimation: Count your outs and multiply them by 4 on the flop and by 2 on the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

Umm..not quite. Would you care to share how you came up with those percentages? Odds for the flush are 1.86:1 or 34.965% (1/2.86). Odds for the straight are 2.18:1 or 31.447%

And if you want to use the 2/4 rule I suggest modifying it by also subtracting from the product the number of outs over 8. For example: In the flush draw you have 9 outs so you multiply by 4 to find the percent chnace to hit by the river. 9*4=36. Close but a little high. If we take it a step further and now subtract 1 (9 is one more than 8) we get 35%. Very close to the actual 34.965%.

Also keep in mind it is usually easier to just work one method, odds or percents. Going back and forth can become confusing.

Good Luck
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