Re: LO.50/1 How horrible is the post flop play?
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Nice post. What range do you put SB on, particularly on the turn,
that makes your read "so obvious"?
-ZEN
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After betting the whole was, why would anyone check the river with Aces Full of sevens or kings when a 2 comes off? I guess I could see some tightwad checking A7 not wanting to escalate in case someone was "slowplaying" AK, but I never would. And neither would most players. His most likely hands given the river check are 77xx and trip aces. And, even if he was checking A7 rather than sevens full or trip aces, you are almost certainly good for at least low. How often is someone drawing to a third nut low on this board? It's indeed possible that you are beat both ways, but it's very unlikely. There is a very good chance that you are ahead both ways, and you will get called by a bunch of worse hands in each direction by opponents hoping to squeeze out half the pot. This is an easy value bet.
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