[NajdorfDefense]

SEA is not a better team than PHL. PHL Def DVOA is low when Sheppard and Dawkins and Considine and others were all out hurt early in the season, and Gaither/Gocong were learning new positions. Now they are all back and healthy but Considine.

The 23-pt gap in ST-DVOA is overstating the difference in these teams.

PHL has beaten 3 5+ win teams [and ST collapse v GB and you saw NWE] while SEA has only 2, both at home and 2 of their wins v STL and 2 v SFO. They haven't beaten a winning team since...Week 1.

Games w/Dawkins healthy.
GB - no TDs
Miami - no TDs
NWE -3 Off TDs, Brady had one.
Was - 1 td final 47 mins.

Sea has a 2-game lead, PHL is win or out.