Re: A8s river decision 3-6 bellagio
If I had KK I'd smooth call the flop and bet the turn when it's checked to me, fully expecting at least one call or maybe a c/r. What hands bet/raise that flop in a pot that big and then fold to a single turn bet there? He doesn't have KK.
What about JJ? Same thing. I'd bet the turn. Doesn't have JJ.
So what does he have? I don't know. You give no read of him but say but he's from Commerce and been playing here every day. He raised UTG and it's a family pot. Wow. 33-44? Maybe.
Verdict. Only 3 bet if you'll fold to a 4th bet which, in limit poker, is catastrphofic if you're wrong. So I'd call and be glad I caught, someone raised it for me and it held up. Or glad I saved 2 BB's.
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