[soah]

the thing here is that in his mind the T should look like a huge scare card to you, and your bet size doesn't necessarily look very confident. A lot of players are going to put in a raise there with a pretty wide range of hands because it's really tough for you to have a hand strong enough to continue with.

Also, he doesn't have a full stack, quite a bit of money has gone into the pot already, and you have outs to the nut boat. You only need to win 1/3 of the time to make pushing better than folding, and you have 10 outs against a made flush. You're actually most concerned about running into a better ten, but assuming he's folding offsuit broadway combos to your pf raise, then there are only a few combos we have to worry about, whereas there are lots of ways he can be bluffing with just a pair or a big spade.

I'm not going to go through all the math, but if you play with pokerstove a bit you should find that we don't have to be ahead here very often to justify getting the money in, and I definitely think we are ahead here a pretty significant amount.