Re: flush draw v. piejay 25/50 HU
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The only way that I would ever bet this turn is if it was for value; since he is supposedly so likely to C/R bluff or semi-bluff in this spot, I can maybe see bet/calling here and looking to get paid on spades, Q or A, and possibly snapping off a continuation-bet if the board pairs. That being said, that's kind of a ridiculous move only to be made when you have a very solid grasp on the flow of the current HU game. Since it doesn't seem like you do at this point, I think that this should be a turn check 100% of the time..
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fwiw he definitely folds turns after he peels flop a fair % of the time...i am double barreling here as a semi-bluff/bluff/value bet. It's a combo of all three because he certainly peels flop with gutters and will fold those to a second barrel more often then he will cr. if he called I was planning on repping diamonds, value betting any spade and also value betting any A or Q.
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