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Old 10-29-2007, 12:01 PM
ama0330 ama0330 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Crushing
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Default Re: NL50: 3bet pot weird spot versus solid regular

I really don’t like this at all. The whole point in 3betting this hand preflop is that you are running a bluff/semibluff, not playing for value. You must bet this flop for the following reasons:

1. You are relying on FE to win this hand. This is a bluff and you can’t make him fold by checking

2. C/c here is totally –ev because you can be sure that he has a better hand than yours and you are not being offered the correct odds to call

3. Your hand is reasonably transparent and if the spade hits theres a good chance that it kills your action so you wont be able to collect on your implied odds, but

4. Given that this is a 3bet pot your implied odds arent really there anyway.

So I would most DEF be betting the flop. If he raises, you fold. Your bluff failed, too bad, move on. If you want to c/c the flop its so you can checkraise the turn allin and fold out some longshot hand that he doesn’t like the look of. You have to show some aggression somewhere because you are bluffing!! You have the worst hand and no odds to draw – how can you c/c down?

As played, what are you wondering about on the river? Shove and hope hes dumb enough to call with an ace – he checks behind here a LOT.
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