Re: AdT vs 3b
Tough spot.
Not really crazy about the flop peel. Given his estimated range, Stove has your draw about a 4.5 to 1 dog. Even though the pot is about 7SB, we have to hope he has an underpair to make a flop call correct. Furthermore, if you do make your hand, you don't stand to make much more as a weaker hand will definitely shut down.
As for the turn, I like going to check-call down mode, maybe donk betting the river, forcing him into a crying call with TT, JJ, KK, and of course folding to a raise. Question is, will he pay it off?
FWIW, here's your turn equity:
26,928 games 0.035 secs 769,371 games/sec
Board: Qd 9d 4h Ac
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.991% 43.20% 00.79% 11633 213.00 { 77+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 1: 56.009% 55.22% 00.79% 14869 213.00 { ATo }
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