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Old 10-26-2007, 12:41 PM
Gurravasa Gurravasa is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: what used to Denmark before we beat them
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Default Re: Check behind turn?

[ QUOTE ]


a) His range isnt that tight

b) Discount Qx and KK+ as villain will 3-bet these on the flop with non-zero probability

c) Discount lower pp's as it isnt everyone who will turn these hands into a bluff.


The decision on the river is much closer than suggested by that stove. You are basically hoping he turns lower pp's into a bluff which I dont see happeing very often. (But i dont play that game)

[/ QUOTE ]

a) how do you know his 3-betting range from SB is looser than 10%?

b) KK+ I agree they should be diecarded, but you can't say that he never calls our flopraise with the intention to c/r turn. But discarding his Qx and KK+ hands makes our equity higher so I wont argue with you on this [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

c)ok I only keep 99+ in his range

Board: 5d Qs 7h Ks Ac
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.786% 26.79% 00.00% 15 0.00 { Qd9d }
Hand 1: 73.214% 73.21% 00.00% 41 0.00 { JJ-99, AKs, AJs-A9s, KJs-KTs, AKo, AJo-ATo }

I think it's an easy call anyway Oink.
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