Re: Reasonable play? Or Ridiculous?
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i think a25 or a57 or something to that nature is a very good chance. You have no low or real chance at the low. Im just saying that you are risking $114 to win $90 at best and that is only 56% of the time as you said. So you are risking $114 to win an EV of $50. So your overall EV is [(180+114+114)/2](.56) - (180+114+114)(.44) = 114.24-179.52 = - $65.28 . Therefore you should fold this
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I don't follow your reasoning.
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