Re: How bad is this call? (draws on the flop)
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flop call is alright, the second one is more marginal.
You've got like 40% equity always against a two pair or better range, if you include pot odds, its a close call.
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Not quite:
Board: Td Kh Qh
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.749% 35.14% 00.61% 1774406 30783.33 { Th9h }
Hand 1: 32.125% 28.59% 03.54% 1443573 178620.33 { QQ+, AJs+, KQs, KTs, QTs, J9s, AJo+, KQo, KTo, QTo, J9o }
Hand 2: 32.125% 28.59% 03.54% 1443573 178620.33 { QQ+, AJs+, KQs, KTs, QTs, J9s, AJo+, KQo, KTo, QTo, J9o }
Stove indicates that we have 35% equity but look at the stack sizes and pot size. At the time of call the pot is $76.40 (the amount hero can win since BB covers us) and hero is calling $48.55, so he's getting 1.57:1. With 35% equity we need 1.86:1 to make a call profitable.
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