Re: 15/30 - big pot, calldown.
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Not inconsistent, I was expressing flexibility with the other posters range - in fact I asked that it be discounted because TT played that way seems a bit odd by this player but its possible I guess. Lots of guys bet 2 streets and chicken out on the river with TT, this villain seems to check lots of rivers in general. Since we can nearly rule out AA and KK for sure he will likely shut down on the river with a 1 pair hand if an A falls because my hand looks like AK and thats what this player type usually does in similar situations.
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In that case, I call a river ace for sure.
It's one thing to have an iron-clad live read and make a good fold that you could not justify online, for example. I don't think you should make the same kind of big fold based on general reasoning like you just gave.
If you had played hours and hours with him live and knew that he can fire 2 barrels but NEVER three it might be different. Here, it seems likely that this is the case but nowhere near certain.
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