View Single Post
  #14  
Old 11-03-2007, 03:57 AM
emerson emerson is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 818
Default Re: A tough one (for PJ even though he\'ll probably hate it)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Pre-preflop: Michael Jackson is a solid play. You could also raise Prince.


[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

I got a lion in my pocket and baby he's ready to roar

[ QUOTE ]

Preflop: Thin 3-bet considering your read, but whatever.


[/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ]


I have a minor peeve with this comment. The 3 bet is -ev here, not thin.

[/ QUOTE ]

I have to disagree with this. I hate the way he played this hand, but the three bet is correct against practically all opponents. It is positive EV if he is a slight underdog to the opponent's range. AT suited will not be more than a slight underdog to nearly any good player's open raise range from the hijack. If he is raising with only the top 15% we have over 49% equity. Our $60 investment in the $145 pot is only about 42%, that's positive EV.

If the guy is only raising the top 10% from the hijack (unlikely), then its close but still positive. We'd have about 43% equity.
Reply With Quote