[Blizzardbaum]

[ QUOTE ]
Previous hand with MP. About 5 orbits ago, I raised button to 30 with AK. BB just called and MP called with J9 suited. On a j 10 7 board, BB bet pot, MP min raised, I fold, BB shows KK, folds, MP shows J9. for top pair.....

I can't tell whether he thought he was winning or felt like playing a massive pot with top pair and a gutshot.

[/ QUOTE ]

this hand argues for not shoving in the original post. if he overvalues top pair type hands than we have every reason to expect getting paid when we make a straight and no reason to think he'll fold Ax enough of the time to make pushing oesd's profitable.