Yes.
So I've done some math's with ICM (
http://www.chillin411.com/icmcalc.php).
There are 3 options
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a) fold PrF
b) call PrF and fold PoF ui or push if improved
c) call PrF and push flop
d) push PrF
@b: I think there will be about 37% (0,36745=6/50+6/49+6/48) a K or a J on the flop (as long as they are alive; in the worst case - SB folded KJ, Villain holds something line AK, AJ, and the burned card is a K/J - I'll have about 12% to hit K/J).
There are also possibilities of straights and so on. So, on average there should be a push about 25% of the time and i should win this about 50% of the time, what means 12,5% of winning on average.
Lets say Villain calls about 80% of the time.
@c: It's close to b, but i'll give me here a 10% fold-equ. and about 15% to win on average (because i push allways, even if i miss the flop completly).
@d: I can win if Villain folds and lose or win on the showdown. I think Villain will raise here with a wide range of hands, but only calls an all-in with strong ones, maybe with about 9% (88+,ATs+,KTs+,QJs,AJo+,KQo) of all starting hands - what means I'm about a 35:65 underdog.
Lets say he will call me preflop for about 75%.
Chipstacks after move
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a) Hero(5255), Villain(6810), SB(7935)
b) Hero(0)|(2855)|(10055)|(12065), Villain(12065)|(9210)|(2010)|(0), SB(7935)
c) Hero(0)|12065), Villain(12065)|(0), SB(7935)
d) Hero(0)|10055)|(12065), Villain(12065)|(2010)|(0), SB(7935)
EV(ICM)
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a) 0.3097
b) 0.2798 (=75%*0.2644+25%*{20%*0.3895+80%*[50%*0.2+50%*0.4206]})
c) 0.2526 (=15%*.3895+85%*{15%*0.4206+85%*0.2})
d) 0.3052 (=25%*0.3895+75%*{35%*0.4206+65%*0.2})
Conclusion
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The EV of folding and pushing is very close. The difference depends on the fold-equ. and Villains handrange.
If we give Villain no chance to fold preflop, then it only depends on his handrange, what means in this case that folding has more value (countig with 35:65 underdog).
Question
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Do you think my assumptions are ok?