[kross]

For a value bet to be correct, we need to be good at least 50% of the time when called. I will guess villain will call with any pair, and A-high. So a quick stove:

Board: Qc 6s 4h 8d 6h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.437% 39.16% 00.28% 58069433 413271.50 { 55 }
Hand 1: 60.563% 60.29% 00.28% 89397389 413273.50 { 22+, A2s+, KQs, K8s, K6s, K4s, Q2s+, J8s, J6s, J4s, T8s, T6s, T4s, 98s, 96s, 94s, 82s+, 76s, 74s, 62s+, 54s, 42s+, A2o+, KQo, K8o, K6o, K4o, Q2o+, J8o, J6o, J4o, T8o, T6o, T4o, 98o, 96o, 94o, 82o+, 76o, 74o, 62o+, 54o, 42o+ }

Says we should check.

If we change the 55 to something that can beat second pair, like 99, then it becomes a clear bet:

Board: Qc 6s 4h 8d 6h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.898% 59.63% 00.28% 10684639 49820.50 { 99 }
Hand 1: 40.102% 39.83% 00.28% 7137028 49820.50 { 22+, A2s+, KQs, K8s, K6s, K4s, Q2s+, J8s, J6s, J4s, T8s, T6s, T4s, 98s, 96s, 94s, 82s+, 76s, 74s, 62s+, 54s, 42s+, A2o+, KQo, K8o, K6o, K4o, Q2o+, J8o, J6o, J4o, T8o, T6o, T4o, 98o, 96o, 94o, 82o+, 76o, 74o, 62o+, 54o, 42o+ }

Now I know those ranges aren't incredibly realistic, but I think it gives a good feel for the situation.

Am I going about this the right way?

-- Kevin