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Old 11-16-2007, 04:16 PM
budblown budblown is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Smelling the 6 ft Kush plant
Posts: 450
Default Re: Shannon Shorr thinking of quitting ...

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But my whole idea of "the long run" is because in a person's lifetime they may get the short end of the stick in situations where they are favorites to win. Ex. AK vs. J10, obviously we all know percentage wise that the AK is a slight favorite and in "the long run" AK will win more times than the J10, but the J10 will still win also. But a certain person may witness the J10 win more in their lifetime than the AK due to bad luck. That's my whole point in saying that no one will be alive long enough to see the long run. Because the percentages will play out over every hand that is ever dealt, not a person's lifetime.

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lol, first of all, ak is a huge favorite over j10........espeacially over the long run. it would take some astronomical bad luck to see ak get screwed to j10 in a life time of poker.

budblown, i know what your saying but it seems to me that you are trying to make a point about something that is not realisticly too likely.........but is possible.

what did robert deniro say to the slots manager in the movie "casino"?:

"cant you see you were getting scammed after the second jackpot? the odds of two people hitting the jackpot at the same time is in the millions, the odds of it happeneing 3 times in a row is in the billions!!!! ITS NOT SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN........ IT "CANT" HAPPEN!!!!!!!!

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That is my point. Someone could play great poker, get their money in with the favorite hand, and still be a losing player due to the luck factor. The typical response to that usually is, well in the long run you'll be a winner. then my response to that is - But, if nobody sees the long run, how can you say that someone would be a winner in the long run.

Best quote from Casino - "Running a casino is like robbing a bank with no cops around. For guys like me, Las Vegas washes away your sins. It's like a morality car wash"
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