Re: GPSTS conference 11/10/07 at Harvard Law School: My Thesis
You can easily convince a group of successful people that skill predominates over luck in any occupation in the long run, since they all believe it is skill that got them to where they are. I'm fairly sure life is governed predominantly by luck, from beginning to end.
Since there is no way to measure skill in poker independently of results, the role of skill vs. luck is an intractable problem. Maybe you could take identical twins, aged 21 with no poker knowledge, give them the same 9 months of intensive training, and let them play for 3 years and if their results were close to the same you could make something of it.
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