Re: HU SNG Discussion in STTF
You're right. 75% was an overestimate. (and a pretty big one at that, although it certainly did feel like that was about the right number)
After actually running stats though, I have taken first twice as often as I've taken second, so I've won about 66% of the time when I get heads-up, which is something I attribute directly to playing so many heads-up tourneys. I've also taken second a bit more than third.
Other than that, though, my STT stats are pretty average. ITM about 35% of the time, which is just barely over the 33% I guess you're supposed to shoot for. (haven't done a ton of reading on STT theory though)
But we're not talking about a huge sample size here, either. 385 STTs total, 108 heads-up confrontations, 71 first, 37 second, 27 third.
Taking first 60% when making it to the final 2 might be insane good for somebody who focuses mainly on STTs, but I would expect that anybody who frequents HUSNGs to have a big edge in the final 2.
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