[xorbie]

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over the short run, bad players are more likely to "run bad" than they are to "run good". i'm fairly sure of this. over the long run it should obviously even out.

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you're just taking equity vs outcome after players are all in. it doesn't matter at all how the players are playing before the money goes in or how good or bad their equity is once the money goes in.

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if i continuously get it in w/ 2 or 3 outs, i am more likely to hit less than expectation over the shortrun. so i will either run slightly bad or occasionally very, very good.