Re: 25NL QQ Flop Decision
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I assumed AQs-ATs is in his range, just that he will shove with that flush draw a lot less often than he will with a set. So to give those holdings a weight of 25% I only included one of them, AKs. Also, you are correct, J9s should be weighted down by maybe half since he is less likely to call the pf raise with that holding. So that would raise our equity approx. 2% in each case. 4% if he just doesn't play J9s to a raise.
I figured he's getting 3:1 pot odds. So you're right, shrug call against a loose player. I still think it's a fold against a medium or tight player. Even taking J9s out, he only has 18.5% equity and need 25% equity just to break even against a medium tight player.
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Yes perhaps you're right, marginal either way...
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