Villain is 26/22/3.9 over 500 hands but only arrgo factor of 2.0 on the river. I figure he's hardly ever got a K or a Q here. When he check raises the flop, I put him on 66-JJ and 67s with a slight lean away from JJ/TT/99 due to the possibility of a preflop reraise. His flop AF is 7.5. Should I give him more credit for A5s or 65s on the flop? Does anybody just let it go right here?
I usually fold the river (and many times the flop) in these situations, but a long losing streak has me doubting the correctness of a fold on any street (among other things).
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
6 players
Converter
Stack sizes:
rwperu34: $424.40
UTG+1: $399.60
CO: $530.50
Button: $123.20
SB: $413.30
BB: $828.60
Pre-flop: (
6 players) rwperu34 is UTG with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">rwperu34 raises to $14</font>,
4 folds, BB calls.
Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (
$30, 2 players)
BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">rwperu34 bets $30</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB raises to $90</font>, rwperu34 calls.
Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (
$210, 2 players)
BB checks, rwperu34 checks.
River: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (
$210, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets $150</font>