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Old 11-29-2007, 06:13 PM
dpis dpis is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 37
Default Re: 10NL: Set runs into DISASTER card on river...

[ QUOTE ]
Hero only has a remaining stack of $8.40 and if he bets $5.50 he is pot-committed.






this is true, to an extent. the guys a nit, and if he pushes over you pretty much "know" youre beat. i dont have a problem folding no matter what odds im getting if i "know" im beat











You are probably beaten against villain's range and if you bet on the river you will most of the time be called or raised by a better hand. Set over set is so rare, so even if villain has 33, he will probably check it down if you do according to his PT stats.

So, my line here is check-folding the river unless the bet is really small.

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i just hate to miss value, and its possible (probable?) our hand is good with how villain has played so far. i hate letting him check behind a worse hand that he may call with here, i think we have to bet (i understand your first point; i personally hate betting 1/4 pot and such, it just looks scared and makes it easier for villains to exploit us imo, but if he'll call with worse and it leaves us enough to comfortably fold to the push, then so be it)
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