Re: Bluffing 130BB into a side pot
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preflop is a tough decision but i think the call is okay. If you push with AK you allways push in hope for folding a hand with better equity ( 22-JJ). Here you donīt have "semibluff"-options because you have to win against a third player.
Flop is an easy fold in my eyes. I donīt think that he bets craphands like AdKd. His range is much tighter because of the sidepots.I would say his callingrange is wide enough but here you have to use pokerstove. My feeling says me that you donīt have enough FE to justify pushing here.
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At the point I am pushing there is 230$ in the side pot. Plus I may sometimes buy the main pot as well.
Overpairs smaller than KK I have about 45% equity aginst. I guess it comes down to how often he has Acx hands and if he folds those.
Also: If he has AcAx, is he gonna bet the flop so strong? (given there`s only 30$ in the sidepot)
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Okay, letīs give him a loose prefloprange like 22+, any suited connector, KQo+, ATo+, A8s. Now i think he bets only a set, 8c8x-TcTx, JxJx+ and Ac8x-AcKx, XcXc.
Letīs assume his callingrange are Jc,Jx+,KK+, AcKx, XcXc.
He betīs 5,8% hands ( if i didnīt make any mistake).
He calls with 3% of hands, so you have ~50% FE.
Against his range you have an equity of 33%.
If he folds you win 230$, if he calls you loose
0,50*(-809$*0,7) = 542$, so overall a very bad spot against this range. I donīt know what if his range is 88+, AJo+,A9s+ but against a loose range you are dead...
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