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Old 09-18-2006, 12:04 AM
NYplayer NYplayer is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 512
Default 2-7 TD the presence of a second hand

I just worked out in a speadsheet the chances of making a 7 by the river if you start with a 2-3-7. I came up with 20.61%. so basically if you take a 2,3 and 7 out of the deck and draw 3 doing your best to make 7 low that's how often you make it. then decided to check it against two dimes. I decided to do it by making my 2-3-7 have to beat a #5 (the best 8) that way i would be insured a 7. here is the result

http://twodimes.net/poker/?g=l27&b=&...2c+3h+4c+5c+8c

to my surprise my equity is only 3.8%. this must be because the other hand has some of the cards i need no? so does this mean that when we are drawing against another player who is drawing 1 we are in worse shape than strict odds suggest? and if we're against 2 players drawing 1 we are in really bad shape? i though 2-3-7 was good [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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