Re: Monty at it again
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Let Z be the event that no player can win twice .
P(AB|Z ) =P(ABZ)/P(Z)
P(Z)=1 since eventually we can continue this until no player can win twice .
P(ABZ) = n(ABZ)/s(ABZ) = 8/(4/10*8/10 + 6/10*7/10) =8/74
There are 8 ways that the event ABZ occur together .
Also 4 out of 10 times there will be no match 8 out of 10 times ; 6 out of 10 times , there will be no match 7 out of 10 times . This gives us 74 in the denominator .
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Sorry but it looks to me like you've got an answer (8/74) that you are trying to wedge into a formula.
8/(4/10*8/10 + 6/10*7/10) = 400/37
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