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Old 07-03-2007, 05:28 PM
bobneptune bobneptune is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 302
Default Re: caught betwixt and between.... with ace - queen...........

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i did not notice how close you were to the bubble originally either. most likely, your average opponent won't be reraising light over your UTG raise in that spot also, so folding to a push isn't necessarily bad.

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when i hold an ace in my hand, there is > 2% chance any player behind me holds a hand that crushes me (AA, KK, AK). with 6 left behind me there's about a 10% chance i'm crushed .. i suggest that washes with the times i'm way ahead of a potential crammer who holds AJs, KQs, plus any restealing hand/bluff.


say i raise to 1500 as you advise and get crammed by someone in mp that has me covered. there is 1425 in the pot from the blinds and antes plus my 1500 bet = 2,925 in the pot. the crammer adds 10,000 (my total stack), which puts 12,925 in and it costs me 8500 to call which is better than a 3/2 money price.

that's not an insignificant edge.... i don't know how i can turn that down.
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