Re: NL400: Overpair on monotone board
Okay, I guess pretty much everybody in the world disagrees with me, because I believe that a raise/push here is perhaps slightly better than calling and folding. I realize that not many worse hands are going to call you (although any Ac, AQ, and QQ probably will. But those hands, except QQ, are unlikely to get threebet by a villain with 16/10 stats) and pretty much all better hands are not folding.
However I really feel that we have the best hand here the majority of the time, and even though the direct EV of a push seems negative, I believe it is better than giving villain a 'free' chance to make a better hand, or the ability to push us of our hand on the turn (especially if a scare card falls).
I'm wondering, would your advise change if the flop was T62ccc?
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