Re: PART II. RIVER ACTION?
A lot of people panic on this flop with AA or KK and just shove if they're villain, even with a diamond (esp with KdKx which is more likely since you have an Ace) so I don't put much weight on that part of his range. This looks a lot like JJ-TT with a diamond, AJ-AK with a diamond, or the made flush. Sometimes he has QQ+, but not super often IMO.
I wouldn't count on him bluffing his missed AK all the time, and I wouldn't love to call his shove if I check. You can rep AK here very well, so I'd shove river and hope for a call from JJ. I expect him to fold but I can't think of a better line. (I shove turn first though because I think I'm good and the pot is big).
Also, why is this in MSNL?
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