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Old 11-29-2007, 01:46 AM
SlowHabit SlowHabit is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 1,509
Default Re: pair + draw vs spewtard

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Can you show the math where he has to fold more than 30%?

I got a number much smaller than this.

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Could be wrong and is slight dif w/ blinds but
Pot 12k if both ai * 40% eq = 4.8k
5500 more - 4800 = 700
700 to win 1075+1050

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Hmmm, you might be right but I don't want to confuse myself with more equations. Below is my calculation. Let me know if I miscalculated [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

If we check-shove and Villain folds, we win 2125.

If Villain read Hero's soul, then Hero lose .6 (5500) = -3300 and suck out .4 (6625) = 2650. Total EV for check-shove is -650.

0 = 2125x + (-650)(1-x) ~ x = 23%
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