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Old 10-07-2007, 10:44 PM
RIIT RIIT is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 171
Default Re: 2007PBWC NLH FinalTable - Bot mistake? or misfortune?

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Can you elaborate on exactly what you're doing to calculate the bot's losing chances for the hand of 56.69%?

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Slim,

That is the statistical chance of losing to the range of all possible hands. The number gets worse if Guarans preflop raising range is smaller (which we can only guess at).

RIIT

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Oh Ray....cough RIIT [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

People don't call based on random hands (unlike the way Winholdem thinks). Call $900 on a 1/2 blind is insane (unless you have AA).

Making that bet is worst.
With one guy to act he has AA 1 in 216 times. If two guys are left to act that is 1 in 108 times (between the two of them).

HUGE -EV play.

Despite what your iterator tells you.

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Ray's never been able to fathom the wordwrap feature, but I don't think you're too far off. I personally don't like open discussion on any kind of bot-related strat as I don't see how it's beneficial to us at all.

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It's both historical and interesting. You should feel privileged to be part of the discussion.

RIIT
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