Re: Too weak with the FD?
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*grunch*
I raise the flop here. This almost can't go wrong- if both players fold behind, you may get a free card (especially since it looks like SB isn't super aggressive). If one calls, you have a slight +EV edge. If both call, you have a huge EV edge. The only bad scenario is if they both fold and SB reraises, or doesn't give you the free card on the turn. But that risk is probably justified.
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A bit of Free card Maths:
Assumptions –
No turn Flush card
35% EQ on flop
17.5% EQ on turn
One caller = Always
Raised = Never
Free Card received = Always
Flush draw wins = Always
Flop Raise:
Equity 35% - Putting in 33% of Pot = .02% Equity edge
.02% x 2 other Players = .04BB
Free card:
17.5% x 5.5BB Pot = 0.96BB
Flop Raise + Free Card = 1.00BB
Cost of Raise = 1.00BB
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