[xGREGORx]

I think someone above said I had 16BBs… I actually have 26BB’s. So what about the following analysis?

Stack versus blinds:
We are at the 120/240/25 level
Hero = 6335 chips or 26BB’s.
Villian1 = 5677 chips or 24BB's
Villain 2 = 3675 or 15BB's.

The action:
Villian 1 raises to ~3BB’s and Villian 2 calls, so when the action gets to me in the SB there is ~3 + ~3 + 1.5 + ~1 = ~8.5BB’s in the pot. Isn’t pushing for effectively 24BB’s (villian1’s stack) to win 8.5BB’s overkill? I’d feel better about a push if I had ~17BB’s.

Alternatively, why can’t I just reraise to 2400 (10BB’s). I think it sends a stronger signal of a big pocket pair, especially with my image at the time. This might be more of a convincing squeeze than a push, causing 99 – JJ to fold? Is a push by me looking more like an AK play and 99 – JJ might be more willing to gamble there?

But would a reraise to 10BB’s give me room to fold if either villain pushes? If villain 1 pushes over the top for a 3rd raise, the pot would have 3+3+2.5+10+21 = 39.5BB’s and I would have to call 11 more BB’s getting ~3.5:1 to call. Nice odds for sure and with my image at the time I think villian1’s range would be JJ+, AK. 88 versus that range is 2:1 against winning, so I have to call and pray for a coinflip. If you take AK out of the range, then 88 is 4:1 against winning and a fold would be warranted. The other consideration though is that I would still have a decent stack if I fold to a villian1 push… 16BB’s which still gives me room to convincingly resteal. Now, if villian1 folds and villian2 pushes, the pot would have 3+3+2.5+10+12 = 30.5BB’s and I would have to instacall for 2 more BB’s.

Finally, the more I think about it… this hand is getting decided preflop. I think neither villain calls a 2400 reraise by me to see a flop. They’re either pushing or folding preflop, so the flop discussion is probably moot.

Thoughts????