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Old 11-21-2007, 03:31 AM
payoff wizard payoff wizard is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 228
Default Re: OESD oop in a bloated pot, say what...

I disagree with Kaz, and I think you should fold. Villain is at 14/12/2, has raised preflop, and then raised your ill-advised donk-bet by more than pot. At the micros, you are nearly never ahead here.

note: with villain's PT stats, assuming he adjusts his PF range for position, from UTG you can probably narrow his range to AQs+, AK, or 99+, against which you have 53% equity. However, its unlikely villain makes this play with overcards and your equity against 99+ is only 38%.

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